Influenza in Norway II

The Norwegian public health authorities have adjusted their prognosis for the H1N1 epidemic in the country. More important, they now describe a worst case scenario, and avoid the pitfall of forecasting a possible epidemic.

Their earlier projections were wrong, and resembled more guesswork than science.

The government is now preparing the population for a possible worst case. This is a sound policy, and would also help the population and health care system to prepare for new epidemics in the future.

However, I still think we need to evaluate how Norway translates early warnings into policy. So far it has been a costly exercise, even for one of the richest countries in the world.

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